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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
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MikeCAdministrator
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Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: General 2017 Model Watching
      Sat Jul 08 2017 09:14 AM

Model runs for east wave:

GFS Para doesn't really develop it and smashes it into South America.

0z Euro isn't developing it either.

GFS has it as a hurricane over the leewards friday night into Saturday, between Jamaica and Haiti on Tuesday July 18th, over Cuba on the 19th, moves through the western Bahamas on the 20th, gains strength and Landfalls near Wilmington NC on July 21st as a major hurricane, cuts inland through north Carolina, over DC on Sat the 22nd, and moves quickly though New England. (the prior 0z run had the system slowly moving up the spine of Florida starting July 20th as a major) -- Reminder that far out, especially with a system that hasn't developed yet, it doesn't mean much other than something may be worth watching that week, more interested in how it trends over time and the upper air steering pattern.

In short GFS is being hyperactive (again), something to watch but nothing guaranteed, similar to what TD#4 was.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator Sat Jul 08 2017 09:14 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching vpbob21   Sun Aug 27 2017 10:27 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching vpbob21   Wed Aug 23 2017 04:22 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching vpbob21   Mon Aug 14 2017 10:23 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching vpbob21   Thu Aug 10 2017 03:37 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching vpbob21   Thu Aug 03 2017 01:49 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jun 27 2017 05:44 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 28 2017 06:51 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jun 30 2017 07:08 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 06 2017 01:14 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jul 07 2017 03:15 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jul 08 2017 09:14 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jul 08 2017 01:36 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching M.A.   Mon Jul 31 2017 06:09 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 02 2017 02:29 PM

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