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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
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MikeCAdministrator
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Posts: 4635
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: General 2017 Model Watching
      Sat Jul 08 2017 01:36 PM

and the 1zz gfs keeps it weaker and moves west all the way through the Caribbean into the Yucatan. (huge difference from North Carolina last run)

The trend is weaker now,and with other models being weak as well, that's the more likely scenario at this point, but still nearly 2 weeks our.

Another tool to look at is the ensembl member surface pressure map http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/...os=0&ypos=0 which shows how large the spread is with the GFS members.



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Subject Posted by Posted on
* General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator Sat Jul 08 2017 01:36 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching vpbob21   Sun Aug 27 2017 10:27 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching vpbob21   Wed Aug 23 2017 04:22 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching vpbob21   Mon Aug 14 2017 10:23 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching vpbob21   Thu Aug 10 2017 03:37 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching vpbob21   Thu Aug 03 2017 01:49 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jun 27 2017 05:44 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 28 2017 06:51 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jun 30 2017 07:08 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 06 2017 01:14 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jul 07 2017 03:15 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jul 08 2017 09:14 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jul 08 2017 01:36 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching M.A.   Mon Jul 31 2017 06:09 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 02 2017 02:29 PM

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