Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995

Continuing nudges west in Philippe's track prolonging heavy rains and tropical storm force winds in the Leewards
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 33 (Idalia) , Major: 33 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 33 (Idalia) Major: 33 (Idalia)
18.5N 62.9W
Wind: 50MPH
Pres: 1001mb
Nw at 8 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight

Archives 2010s >> 2017 Forecast Lounge


Reged: Mon
Posts: 2279
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: 95L Lounge
      Mon Jul 17 2017 01:28 PM

As of 17 July 2017 1700Z, the better global tropical cyclone genesis models are not excited with 95L's prospects, beyond perhaps a flash TD and then washing out into an open wave that tracks into central America and/or the eastern Pacific. This is unsurprising, given that 95L is a smaller system. It is even a bit of a surprise that these larger-scale globals have identified its existence much at all.

Alternatively, hurricane-centric models, that tend to initialize on the assumption that there is already something worth looking at, are running pretty hot on 95L, with the HWRF, HWRF-PARA AND HMON-PARA all sending a formidable tropical storm across the Lesser Antilles by mid-week.

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator

Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* TS DON Lounge cieldumortModerator Mon Jul 17 2017 01:28 PM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Mon Jul 17 2017 01:28 PM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 17 2017 11:56 PM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 18 2017 06:57 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 41 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  CFHC, Ed Dunham, Colleen A., danielw, Clark, RedingtonBeachGuy, SkeetoBite, Bloodstar, tpratch, typhoon_tip, cieldumort 

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Thread views: 6767

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center