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cieldumort
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Posts: 2497
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: 95L Lounge
      Mon Jul 17 2017 01:28 PM

As of 17 July 2017 1700Z, the better global tropical cyclone genesis models are not excited with 95L's prospects, beyond perhaps a flash TD and then washing out into an open wave that tracks into central America and/or the eastern Pacific. This is unsurprising, given that 95L is a smaller system. It is even a bit of a surprise that these larger-scale globals have identified its existence much at all.

Alternatively, hurricane-centric models, that tend to initialize on the assumption that there is already something worth looking at, are running pretty hot on 95L, with the HWRF, HWRF-PARA AND HMON-PARA all sending a formidable tropical storm across the Lesser Antilles by mid-week.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* TS DON Lounge cieldumort Mon Jul 17 2017 01:28 PM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge cieldumort   Mon Jul 17 2017 01:28 PM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 17 2017 11:56 PM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 18 2017 06:57 AM

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