Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


The Atlantic is quiet
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 43 (Milton) , Major: 43 (Milton) Florida - Any: 43 (Milton) Major: 43 (Milton)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2017 Forecast Lounge

MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged:
Posts: 4635
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: 95L Lounge
      Tue Jul 18 2017 06:57 AM

Morning models struggle to find Don other than the GFS Parallel and the hurricane models HWRF and HMON (Replacement for the now retired GFDL).

The range of difference in the hurricane models is from open wave to category 2 hurricane (after it passes over the Windwards). If the system reaches 12.5N or higher conditions are hostile enough to make the open wave more likely, if it manages to stay at a low altitude it has a shot at hurricane strength. Either way Don (and the wave behind it) are likely to be short lived.

Today however, the Windwards should be watching for it approaching from he east later tonight. The small size means some folks will barely feel it while others may be hit by a intense bit of storm which are very difficult to predict.

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* TS DON Lounge cieldumort Tue Jul 18 2017 06:57 AM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge cieldumort   Mon Jul 17 2017 01:28 PM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 17 2017 11:56 PM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 18 2017 06:57 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 17 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 7448

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center