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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 275 (Idalia) , Major: 275 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 275 (Idalia) Major: 275 (Idalia)
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Archives 2010s >> 2017 Forecast Lounge
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MikeCAdministrator
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Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Invest 99L Lounge
      Fri Aug 04 2017 10:15 AM

To balance out the 0z gfs run, the 0z Euro run weakens it a bit before crossing over the Leeward islands on Wednesday then rapidly weakens it in the eastern Caribbean and it gets torn up near Hispaniola and brings some rain to Jamaica as a weak low, Friday August 11th. Interesting to note that the The Euro is faster with the system forward movement than the GFS.

The GFS shifted back a bit east, missing the Bahamas and Florida this time, gets very close to Cape Hatteras on Aug 15th and close to Cape Cod on the 16th, but it stays east and recurves it out.

The Euro halso has a strong rdige, but it keeps the system in the Caribbean. So the 50/50 shot for going north or through the islands is still there.

System is important to watch, but way too early to say where it winds up.


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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* HUR. GERT Lounge cieldumort Fri Aug 04 2017 10:15 AM
. * * Re: HUR. GERT Lounge cieldumort   Wed Aug 16 2017 02:56 PM
. * * Re: TD EIGHT Lounge cieldumort   Sun Aug 13 2017 10:13 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge cieldumort   Thu Aug 10 2017 04:16 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge JoshuaK   Fri Aug 11 2017 05:09 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 04 2017 04:08 AM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 04 2017 10:15 AM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge M.A.   Fri Aug 04 2017 11:19 AM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 04 2017 01:02 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 04 2017 03:34 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 04 2017 06:42 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 05 2017 01:01 AM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 05 2017 12:26 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 05 2017 04:02 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 05 2017 06:21 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 06 2017 12:10 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Aug 07 2017 02:23 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge JMII   Mon Aug 07 2017 03:00 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 07 2017 03:14 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 07 2017 06:33 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 08 2017 02:44 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 09 2017 10:18 AM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 09 2017 06:47 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 10 2017 09:26 AM
. * * Re: Significant E Atl Wave (99L) MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 03 2017 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Significant E Atl Wave (99L) MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 03 2017 09:25 PM
. * * Re: Significant E Atl Wave (99L) MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 03 2017 11:47 PM
. * * Re: Significant E Atl Wave (99L) M.A.   Thu Aug 03 2017 08:01 PM
. * * Re: Significant E Atl Wave (99L) MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 03 2017 11:41 AM

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