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Atlantic suddenly become quiet again with nothing tropical on the horizon.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 38 (Nicholas) , Major: 54 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1108 (Michael) Major: 1108 (Michael)
 


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Re: Invest 99L Lounge
      Fri Aug 04 2017 11:34 AM

!2Z GFS starting to roll in, starts off weaker than the last run, but recovers at 24 hours. (Yesterday's 12Z run already had it as a Tropical storm right now, and obviously that didn't happen)

By 48 hours, the position is about the same as the 6z run, but its a bit weaker. TD/tS vs hurricane.

by 96 hours it moves faster and a bit further south of the earlier run, this appears to be closer to the Euro run, although it is a strong Tropical Storm at this point. This run seems more realistic toward actual conditions than the prior run.

At 120 hours out it is much further southwest than the earlier run, and nearing the northern leeward islands, tropical storm strength.

Near/over St. Johns and Barbuda in the Leewards on Thursday morning as a Tropical Storm then moves over/near St. Kitts, toward the Virgin Islands.

Tropical Storm landfall on Puerto Rico Thursday night, then moves toward Hispaniola, by friday night it's over Haiti and getting torn apart. By Saturday morning the remains are over Guantanamo in Cuba.

By Monday, August 14th it emerges west of Cuba into the Gulf and gets a little stronger, maybe a TS again, then heads toward southeastern Louisiana with a TS landfall late afternoon on the 15th.


This is closer to the Euro run and much weaker (never gains hurricane strength) and stays weak.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* HUR. GERT Lounge cieldumortModerator Fri Aug 04 2017 11:34 AM
. * * Re: HUR. GERT Lounge cieldumortModerator   Wed Aug 16 2017 10:56 AM
. * * Re: TD EIGHT Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sun Aug 13 2017 06:13 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Thu Aug 10 2017 12:16 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge JoshuaK   Fri Aug 11 2017 01:09 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 04 2017 12:08 AM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 04 2017 06:15 AM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge M.A.   Fri Aug 04 2017 07:19 AM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 04 2017 09:02 AM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 04 2017 11:34 AM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 04 2017 02:42 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 04 2017 09:01 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 05 2017 08:26 AM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 05 2017 12:02 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 05 2017 02:21 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 06 2017 08:10 AM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge IsoFlame   Mon Aug 07 2017 10:23 AM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge JMII   Mon Aug 07 2017 11:00 AM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 07 2017 11:14 AM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 07 2017 02:33 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 08 2017 10:44 AM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 09 2017 06:18 AM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 09 2017 02:47 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 10 2017 05:26 AM
. * * Re: Significant E Atl Wave (99L) MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 03 2017 01:19 PM
. * * Re: Significant E Atl Wave (99L) MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 03 2017 05:25 PM
. * * Re: Significant E Atl Wave (99L) MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 03 2017 07:47 PM
. * * Re: Significant E Atl Wave (99L) M.A.   Thu Aug 03 2017 04:01 PM
. * * Re: Significant E Atl Wave (99L) MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 03 2017 07:41 AM

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