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Archives 2010s >> 2017 Forecast Lounge

cieldumortModerator
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Re: 91L Lounge
      Wed Aug 16 2017 05:37 PM

91L is looking better and better this afternoon. Since the upgrade last month, the 'new and improved' GFS seems to be missing developments of systems that do develop, and over-hyping others that do not develop at all. I tend to think 91L is probably going to be another miss for the GFS, despite it being historically one of the best genesis models.

When it comes to models so far this season, if a system has the DNA, I've paid more attention to the almost always bullish Canadian, because it is at least picking up on a cyclone, where others, including the GFS, may have not.

12z Runs

The most recent run of the Canadian expects a TD by the time 91L crosses the Lesser Antilles, becoming a mid-grade trop storm by time 91L has traveled half-way across the Caribbean.

Of the hurricane specific models that tend to just run on the assumption that a feature has already, or will develop, the new and improved HWRF follows a similar track and intensity trend, while the new and improved HMON keeps 91L a sloppy Trop Storm through the Caribbean, at best.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* HURRICANE HARVEY Lounge cieldumortModerator Wed Aug 16 2017 05:37 PM
. * * Re: HUR HARVEY Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sun Aug 27 2017 10:22 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Aug 22 2017 09:30 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Prospero   Tue Aug 22 2017 07:29 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 22 2017 11:48 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 12:21 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 08:05 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 12:23 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 03:09 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 05:57 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 07:00 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 11:35 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2017 08:07 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge JMII   Thu Aug 24 2017 01:12 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Psyber   Thu Aug 24 2017 01:22 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2017 03:03 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Prospero   Thu Aug 24 2017 09:06 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 07:30 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge JMII   Fri Aug 25 2017 10:25 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Colleen A.Moderator   Fri Aug 25 2017 05:42 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge txwxlearner   Fri Aug 25 2017 09:05 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge kspkap   Fri Aug 25 2017 07:43 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Colleen A.Moderator   Fri Aug 25 2017 08:18 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Steve C   Sat Aug 26 2017 09:12 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Kraig   Sat Aug 26 2017 10:07 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge txwxlearner   Sat Aug 26 2017 11:30 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge txwxlearner   Sun Aug 27 2017 11:09 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge JMII   Sun Aug 27 2017 05:53 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Prospero   Sun Aug 27 2017 07:22 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sun Aug 27 2017 07:44 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Prospero   Sun Aug 27 2017 08:22 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Prospero   Fri Aug 25 2017 09:11 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sun Aug 20 2017 12:12 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge ftlaudbob   Sun Aug 20 2017 01:43 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge ftlaudbob   Sun Aug 20 2017 10:56 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Wed Aug 16 2017 05:37 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Aug 15 2017 10:47 AM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge doug   Tue Aug 15 2017 12:11 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge doug   Wed Aug 16 2017 03:29 PM
. * * Re: E Atlantic Wave 91L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Mon Aug 14 2017 11:44 AM
. * * Re: E Atlantic Wave 91L Lounge vpbob21   Mon Aug 14 2017 01:06 AM

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