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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
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Archives 2010s >> 2017 Forecast Lounge
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MikeCAdministrator
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Posts: 4635
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: HARVEY Lounge
      Thu Aug 24 2017 03:03 PM

As slow moving as Harvey likely will be Storm Surge will still occur, and probably be prolonged and pile up. Especially if it stalls near or just at the coastline. If anything it could be higher in areas than they are predicting. If it were ramping up quickly AND moving quickly then it would be less, but ramping up and crawling is a near worst case.

12Z GFS: (Pressures initialized too high)
landfall Saturday morning, Cat 3. stalls just inland until Wednesday! and then moves northeast inland.

12Z Euro Landfall Saturday morning Cat 2 (obviously not strong enough based on new pressures) Exits out into the Gulf Monday, then second landfall in western LA on Wednesday, cat 3. Rain and huge coastal impacts all along E. Texas and Louisiana.

12Z HWRF Landfall early saturday morning as a cat 3. stalls just inland.

3k nam has pressure down to 873 (record Cat 5) before landfall, but is not a tropical model.


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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* HURRICANE HARVEY Lounge cieldumort Thu Aug 24 2017 03:03 PM
. * * Re: HUR HARVEY Lounge cieldumort   Sun Aug 27 2017 10:22 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge cieldumort   Tue Aug 22 2017 09:30 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Prospero   Tue Aug 22 2017 07:29 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 22 2017 11:48 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 12:21 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 08:05 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 12:23 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 03:09 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 05:57 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 07:00 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 23 2017 11:35 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2017 08:07 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge JMII   Thu Aug 24 2017 01:12 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Psyber   Thu Aug 24 2017 01:22 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2017 03:03 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Prospero   Thu Aug 24 2017 09:06 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2017 07:30 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge JMII   Fri Aug 25 2017 10:25 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Colleen A.   Fri Aug 25 2017 05:42 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge txwxlearner   Fri Aug 25 2017 09:05 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge kspkap   Fri Aug 25 2017 07:43 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Colleen A.   Fri Aug 25 2017 08:18 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Steve C   Sat Aug 26 2017 09:12 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Kraig   Sat Aug 26 2017 10:07 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge txwxlearner   Sat Aug 26 2017 11:30 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge txwxlearner   Sun Aug 27 2017 11:09 AM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge JMII   Sun Aug 27 2017 05:53 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Prospero   Sun Aug 27 2017 07:22 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge cieldumort   Sun Aug 27 2017 07:44 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Prospero   Sun Aug 27 2017 08:22 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge Prospero   Fri Aug 25 2017 09:11 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge cieldumort   Sun Aug 20 2017 12:12 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge ftlaudbob   Sun Aug 20 2017 01:43 PM
. * * Re: HARVEY Lounge ftlaudbob   Sun Aug 20 2017 10:56 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge cieldumort   Wed Aug 16 2017 05:37 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge cieldumort   Tue Aug 15 2017 10:47 AM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge doug   Tue Aug 15 2017 12:11 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge doug   Wed Aug 16 2017 03:29 PM
. * * Re: E Atlantic Wave 91L Lounge cieldumort   Mon Aug 14 2017 11:44 AM
. * * Re: E Atlantic Wave 91L Lounge vpbob21   Mon Aug 14 2017 01:06 AM

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