Invest 95L in the Tropical Atlantic now has a 90% chance to develop over the next 7 days, and a 70% chance to do so in the next 48 hours. Recon scheduled for Sunday morning.a
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any
302 (Idalia)
, Major:
302 (Idalia)
Florida - Any: 302 (Idalia)
Major:
302 (Idalia)
Looking at the raw data, they've got an extrapolated surface pressure at 944 mb. and an uncontaminated SMFR of 88 knots just on their first north/south pass. There's really not much to stop the system from continuing to strengthen until near landfall, so another 12 hours or so for Harvey to continue to power up.
-------------------- M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2020
NOAA MADIS/HADS Programmer
U. Arizona PhD Student
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