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Now looking at a chance for two TDs in the Atlantic (low threat to land), but likely development in the Pacific nearing Hawaii.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 670 (Milton), US Major: 670 (Milton), FL Any: 670 (Milton), FL Major: 670 (Milton)

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Archives 2010s >> 2017 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Reged:
Posts: 2744
Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: 95L Lounge
Tue Sep 05 2017 01:32 AM

Clean ASCAT pass from 0327z. Right where models progged development to begin (this is also a historically favored region for tropical cyclogenesis).

Fairly well defined surface circulation just offshore of Tampico, MX, but showers and thunderstorms remain sparse, fleeting, and insufficiently organized. There is a better chance later today, Tuesday, and tomorrow, Wednesday, of enough of a break in the moderately strong wind shear that has been plaguing this system for some development.

Regardless of development, potentially heavy rains will likely persist over eastern Mexico for much of this week.

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
HUR Katia Lounge	cieldumort	Tue Sep 05 2017 01:32 AM
Re: HUR Katia Lounge	cieldumort	Sun Sep 10 2017 12:46 AM
Re: TS Katia Lounge	cieldumort	Wed Sep 06 2017 06:18 AM
Re: 95L Lounge	cieldumort	Tue Sep 05 2017 01:32 AM
Re: Low in SW Gulf	cieldumort	Mon Sep 04 2017 07:39 PM
Re: Trof in Bay of Campeche	cieldumort	Sun Sep 03 2017 01:20 AM
Re: Possible New Development in Gulf	Prospero	Fri Sep 01 2017 09:49 PM
Re: Possible New Development in Gulf	cieldumort	Sat Sep 02 2017 02:58 AM
Re: Possible New Development in Gulf	EMS	Sat Sep 02 2017 10:28 AM

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