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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
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Archives 2010s >> 2017 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2322
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: 95L Lounge
      Tue Sep 05 2017 01:32 AM

Clean ASCAT pass from 0327z. Right where models progged development to begin (this is also a historically favored region for tropical cyclogenesis).

Fairly well defined surface circulation just offshore of Tampico, MX, but showers and thunderstorms remain sparse, fleeting, and insufficiently organized. There is a better chance later today, Tuesday, and tomorrow, Wednesday, of enough of a break in the moderately strong wind shear that has been plaguing this system for some development.

Regardless of development, potentially heavy rains will likely persist over eastern Mexico for much of this week.



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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* HUR Katia Lounge cieldumort Tue Sep 05 2017 01:32 AM
. * * Re: HUR Katia Lounge cieldumort   Sun Sep 10 2017 12:46 AM
. * * Re: TS Katia Lounge cieldumort   Wed Sep 06 2017 06:18 AM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 05 2017 01:32 AM
. * * Re: Low in SW Gulf cieldumort   Mon Sep 04 2017 07:39 PM
. * * Re: Trof in Bay of Campeche cieldumort   Sun Sep 03 2017 01:20 AM
. * * Re: Possible New Development in Gulf Prospero   Fri Sep 01 2017 09:49 PM
. * * Re: Possible New Development in Gulf cieldumort   Sat Sep 02 2017 02:58 AM
. * * Re: Possible New Development in Gulf EMS   Sat Sep 02 2017 10:28 AM

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