Quote: I'm not sure if it's been mentioned already, but the one thing that I don't really understand is that regardless of the trajectory that each model run has produced in regards to possible paths, ALL of the models have projected continued increase in strength all the way and up to either landfall or the the eventual turn poleward, yet the NHC has consistently forecasted the weakening of the system toward the end of the runs.
I've noticed this as well- none of the model runs seem to indicate much in the way of weakening- regardless of the western or eastern bias.
-------------------- Erin '95, Dennis / Floyd / Irene '99, Francis / Jeanne '04
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