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Recon has departed Keesler to check out #93L in the SW Gulf. #92L is now just inland along SE GA coast. June systems can dump lots of rain.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 297 (Idalia) , Major: 297 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 297 (Idalia) Major: 297 (Idalia)
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Archives 2010s >> 2017 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2321
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: E Atlantic Tropical Wave
      Thu Sep 07 2017 06:50 AM

Quote:


REALLY not liking the 00Z Euro today, which shows Jose looping around and bringing it back through the Bahamas and toward Florida.




Latest run of ECMWF shows a plausible scenario. In summary, it has Jose drawn up behind much larger Irma heading NW out from the southern Bahamas by late Monday Sep 11, then quickly looped back around by the squeeze play between Irma to Jose's NW - a diving offshore, large, non-tropical low out of Newfoundland - to be then slingshotted back W by the rebuilding Bermuda High, heading right for S Florida as a major at the end of this run (0Z Sep 17).

Believable - and especially noteworthy coming from a model like the Euro. Worth keeping watch for consistency in future runs and if other models start to buy in.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* HURRICANE Jose Lounge cieldumort Thu Sep 07 2017 06:50 AM
. * * Re: HURRICANE Jose Lounge cieldumort   Fri Sep 22 2017 09:37 PM
. * * Re: HURRICANE Jose Lounge cieldumort   Mon Sep 18 2017 09:05 PM
. * * Re: HUR Jose Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 11 2017 08:41 PM
. * * Re: HUR Jose Lounge Major Sharpe   Thu Sep 14 2017 05:03 AM
. * * Re: HUR Jose Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 14 2017 07:37 AM
. * * Re: HUR Jose Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 14 2017 12:40 PM
. * * Re: HUR Jose Lounge Bloodstar   Fri Sep 15 2017 01:30 AM
. * * Re: HUR Jose Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 15 2017 05:27 AM
. * * Re: HUR Jose Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 15 2017 08:18 AM
. * * Re: HUR Jose Lounge ftlaudbob   Fri Sep 15 2017 09:47 AM
. * * Re: HUR Jose Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 15 2017 12:06 PM
. * * Re: HUR Jose Lounge doug   Mon Sep 18 2017 12:20 PM
. * * Re: HUR Jose Lounge Prospero   Sat Sep 16 2017 09:43 PM
. * * Re: HUR Jose Lounge JMII   Tue Sep 12 2017 11:55 AM
. * * Re: HUR Jose Lounge OrlandoDan   Mon Sep 11 2017 11:34 PM
. * * Re: HUR Jose Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 09 2017 03:18 PM
. * * Re: HUR Jose Lounge Major Sharpe   Mon Sep 11 2017 09:45 AM
. * * Re: HUR Jose Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 09 2017 01:19 PM
. * * Re: HUR Jose Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 09 2017 05:49 AM
. * * Re: HUR Jose Lounge cieldumort   Fri Sep 08 2017 01:11 PM
. * * Re: HUR Jose Lounge flnative   Fri Sep 08 2017 05:40 PM
. * * Re: E Atlantic Tropical Wave Bloodstar   Sun Sep 03 2017 12:51 PM
. * * Re: E Atlantic Tropical Wave MissBecky   Thu Sep 07 2017 04:16 AM
. * * Re: E Atlantic Tropical Wave cieldumort   Thu Sep 07 2017 06:50 AM

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