Quote: I'm also not seeing how the blocking features will create such a sharp turn to the north like the models are plotting...that is unless Irma slows way down. I just can't see how 175 mph hurricane travelling WNW @ 16 mph will just turn to the north like that.
I too was asking about this before. The forecast path shows such a sharp turn. Big things can't turn corners very well. It was pointed out that Wilma did turn like this, but only after slowing to crawl. Such motion should be easy to track via the Key West radar.
We are all shuttered up here... just the trash cans to bring in, garage and vehicle lock down tomorrow. Then make the call to stick around or bolt to Central or West coast of FL depending on the dreaded cone. If it stays offshore I feel safe, it would like Wilma. If she is onshore then we gotta go, way too dangerous.
5PM update, right down the middle of the state again!
-------------------- South FL Native... experienced many tropical systems, put up the panels for: David 79 - Floyd 87 - Andrew 92 - Georges 98 - Frances 04 - Wilma 05 - Matthew 16 - Irma 17
Lost our St James City rental property to Ian 22