No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any
20 (Milton)
, Major:
20 (Milton)
Florida - Any: 20 (Milton)
Major:
20 (Milton)
18Z GFS run, scrapes Cubas north coast (offshore), landfall cat 5 just east of Key West (which is a shift west of the 12z run) late Sunday morning, mainland landfall south of Napes, Cat 5 late Sunday.
Over Wauchula, FL early Monday morning, cat 3/4 Cat 3 Over Bushnell by late Monday morning. Hurricane force winds extend all the way along the peninsula east and west through this point. Near live oak/Lake City, FL Monday afternoon, Cat 1/2, winds dying down either way. Worse winds (additive effect relative to forward motion) on right side. West side has negative effect on windspeed due to forward motion. The rides up I-75 into Georgia weakening the whole way. (Atlanta will get some TS winds)
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