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Although still very unlikely to develop or be very strong, there could be an area to watch in the in little more than a week out from energy currently associated with the systems in the East Pacific.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 604 (Milton), US Major: 604 (Milton), FL Any: 604 (Milton), FL Major: 604 (Milton)

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Archives 2010s >> 2017 Forecast Lounge

MikeC
Admin

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Posts: 4828
Loc: Orlando, FL

Re: 96L Lounge
Tue Sep 19 2017 05:54 AM

0z gfs and euro take Maria over Puerto Rico and the Euro takes it close, but not over the Turks and Caicos, before turning it out to sea. Closest approach to the US is on Wednesday the 27th, but both models keep it well east of the US for now.

Models are generally in good agreement out to 5 days or so, so it is very likely this one stays away from the continental US. We'll keep monitoring it for that, though, particularly for the trends (Mid Atlantic/NE would have highest risk, Florida is extremely unlikely) With the strong trof approaching the east coast next week, it's fairly safe bet this won't directly affect the continental US. Large Surf/swells will continue to be a problem though, Jose is already causing that.

Puerto Rico/VI impacts would be Tomorrow and Thursday. The 6z GFS takes it over St Croix Wednesday early morning, then eastern Puerto Rico later that day.

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
HURRICANE Maria Lounge	cieldumort	Tue Sep 19 2017 05:54 AM
Re: HURRICANE Maria Lounge	MikeC	Mon Sep 18 2017 08:17 AM
Re: HURRICANE Maria Lounge	doug	Mon Sep 18 2017 11:13 AM
Re: HURRICANE Maria Lounge	Reaper	Mon Sep 18 2017 01:21 PM
Re: HURRICANE Maria Lounge	scottsvb	Mon Sep 18 2017 01:52 PM
Re: HURRICANE Maria Lounge	Steve C	Tue Sep 19 2017 12:05 AM
Re: HURRICANE Maria Lounge	cieldumort	Tue Sep 19 2017 12:13 AM
Re: HURRICANE Maria Lounge	vpbob21	Sun Sep 17 2017 11:23 PM
Re: 96L Lounge	MikeC	Fri Sep 15 2017 04:59 AM
Re: 96L Lounge	MikeC	Fri Sep 15 2017 08:20 AM
Re: 96L Lounge	ftlaudbob	Fri Sep 15 2017 09:45 AM
Re: 96L Lounge	MikeC	Fri Sep 15 2017 12:10 PM
Re: 96L Lounge	Keith B	Sun Sep 17 2017 05:30 PM
Re: 96L Lounge	TPuppy	Sun Sep 17 2017 08:49 PM
Re: 96L Lounge	Biff83	Sun Sep 17 2017 09:56 PM
Re: 96L Lounge	Reaper	Sun Sep 17 2017 10:00 PM
Re: 96L Lounge	doug	Fri Sep 15 2017 04:40 PM
Re: 96L Lounge	MikeC	Fri Sep 15 2017 02:33 PM
Re: 96L Lounge	MikeC	Sat Sep 16 2017 12:54 AM
Re: 96L Lounge	MikeC	Sat Sep 16 2017 08:57 AM
Re: 96L Lounge	MikeC	Sat Sep 16 2017 11:52 AM
Re: 96L Lounge	MikeC	Sat Sep 16 2017 05:59 PM
Re: 96L Lounge	MikeC	Sun Sep 17 2017 04:40 AM
Re: 96L Lounge	MikeC	Tue Sep 19 2017 05:54 AM
Re: 96L Lounge	M.A.	Tue Sep 19 2017 08:33 AM
Re: 96L Lounge	doug	Tue Sep 19 2017 02:47 PM
Re: 96L Lounge	Steve C	Tue Sep 19 2017 05:07 PM
Re: 96L Lounge	TPuppy	Tue Sep 19 2017 08:53 PM
Re: 96L Lounge	Kraig	Tue Sep 19 2017 11:29 PM
Re: 96L Lounge	MikeC	Wed Sep 20 2017 10:53 AM
Re: 96L Lounge	MikeC	Thu Sep 21 2017 09:33 AM
Re: 96L Lounge	MikeC	Fri Sep 22 2017 05:25 AM
Re: 96L Lounge	ftlaudbob	Fri Sep 22 2017 07:29 AM
Re: 96L Lounge	B.C.Francis	Sun Sep 17 2017 11:42 AM
Re: 96L Lounge	doug	Sun Sep 17 2017 01:01 PM
Re: 96L Lounge	Keith B	Sat Sep 16 2017 10:57 AM
Re: 96L Lounge	doug	Sat Sep 16 2017 08:15 AM
Re: 96L Lounge	Bloodstar	Fri Sep 15 2017 04:06 PM
Re: 96L Lounge	B.C.Francis	Fri Sep 15 2017 05:34 PM

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