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Archives 2010s >> 2017 Forecast Lounge
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Keith B
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 58
Loc: FL, Orange County
Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean)
      Wed Oct 04 2017 07:37 PM

I was watching Tom Terry on CH 9 this evening. He was showing the GFS and EURO models. EURO was right / East towards Appalachia bay area. The GFS was more towards to LA area.

Further more, from NHC 5p discussion:

While there is some agreement on the
synoptic pattern, the model track agreement is rather poor, even in
the short term, with the GFS and ECMWF being 90 miles apart on the
forecast track as soon as 24 hours out. This has profound
differences down the road, with the GFS-based guidance moving
considerably faster and to the left of the ECMWF and UKMET across
the Gulf of Mexico. Overall, the guidance has generally shifted a
bit westward since the last cycle, so the latest points in the long
range have been adjusted in that direction. At this point, I
wouldn't focus too much attention on the details of the long-range
forecast until the guidance comes into better agreement. A G-IV
mission and Florida special soundings have been set up for tomorrow
to better determine the synoptic steering flow around the cyclone.

It looks rather fluid.

--------------------
Keith Boyer N4TRN
Orange County ARES
Asst. Emerg. Coord. (AEC) Skywarn Orange County, FL
http://www.ocares.org/

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* HURRICANE Nate MikeCAdministrator Wed Oct 04 2017 07:37 PM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Fri Oct 06 2017 03:14 AM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 07 2017 01:01 AM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 07 2017 06:34 PM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge Genesis   Sat Oct 07 2017 12:09 PM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge richg   Sat Oct 07 2017 04:35 PM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 07 2017 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge Bloodstar   Fri Oct 06 2017 10:37 AM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Fri Oct 06 2017 11:37 AM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Fri Oct 06 2017 02:35 AM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Fri Oct 06 2017 02:06 AM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Thu Oct 05 2017 09:59 PM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Oct 06 2017 10:50 AM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) cieldumort   Wed Oct 04 2017 02:03 AM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) MikeCAdministrator   Wed Oct 04 2017 06:05 AM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) Lamar-Plant City   Wed Oct 04 2017 12:26 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) Marknole   Wed Oct 04 2017 07:19 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) Keith B   Wed Oct 04 2017 07:37 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) Keith B   Wed Oct 04 2017 08:28 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) JMII   Thu Oct 05 2017 10:58 AM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) Prospero   Thu Oct 05 2017 07:03 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) JMII   Fri Oct 06 2017 10:45 AM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) MikeCAdministrator   Thu Oct 05 2017 07:14 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) Prospero   Thu Oct 05 2017 07:47 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) cieldumort   Wed Oct 04 2017 01:03 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) MikeCAdministrator   Wed Oct 04 2017 02:49 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) OrlandoDan   Wed Oct 04 2017 06:44 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) OrlandoDan   Tue Oct 03 2017 08:48 PM

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