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Archives 2010s >> 2017 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2307
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Nate Lounge
      Fri Oct 06 2017 03:37 PM

Quote:


Does anyone else see a competing surface low becoming dominant to the east of the current surface low? Recon data seems to be hinting at that possibility.



This mission has been flying up around 5000' and suggests that the mid-level center is possibly misaligned from the surface low pressure minimum, perhaps some overall vortex tilting with height (leftovers from yesterdays southwesterly shear? maybe with the overall influence from the parent gyre?) Either way, Nate is lopsided, with the stronger winds by far in the northeastern quadrant, well away from the surface pressure minimum, and mostly much weaker winds in the western semicircle ... potential implications for Florida, even if landfall point is much further west.

With deep convection globules located well southwest, over, and well northeast of the surface center, within the large region of parent vorticity, model runs that suggested satellite vorts of one kind or another seem realistic enough. Interesting to watch play out - tricky forecast, tho

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* HURRICANE Nate MikeCAdministrator Fri Oct 06 2017 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Fri Oct 06 2017 07:14 AM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 07 2017 05:01 AM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 07 2017 10:34 PM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge Genesis   Sat Oct 07 2017 04:09 PM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge richg   Sat Oct 07 2017 08:35 PM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 07 2017 10:17 PM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge Bloodstar   Fri Oct 06 2017 02:37 PM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Fri Oct 06 2017 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Fri Oct 06 2017 06:35 AM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Fri Oct 06 2017 06:06 AM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Fri Oct 06 2017 01:59 AM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Oct 06 2017 02:50 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) cieldumort   Wed Oct 04 2017 06:03 AM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) MikeCAdministrator   Wed Oct 04 2017 10:05 AM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) Lamar-Plant City   Wed Oct 04 2017 04:26 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) Marknole   Wed Oct 04 2017 11:19 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) Keith B   Wed Oct 04 2017 11:37 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) Keith B   Thu Oct 05 2017 12:28 AM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) JMII   Thu Oct 05 2017 02:58 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) Prospero   Thu Oct 05 2017 11:03 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) JMII   Fri Oct 06 2017 02:45 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) MikeCAdministrator   Thu Oct 05 2017 11:14 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) Prospero   Thu Oct 05 2017 11:47 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) cieldumort   Wed Oct 04 2017 05:03 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) MikeCAdministrator   Wed Oct 04 2017 06:49 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) OrlandoDan   Wed Oct 04 2017 10:44 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) OrlandoDan   Wed Oct 04 2017 12:48 AM

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