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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 284 (Idalia) , Major: 284 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 284 (Idalia) Major: 284 (Idalia)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2017 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Posts: 2307
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Nate Lounge
      Sat Oct 07 2017 10:34 PM

Nate's lopsided and slightly still-incoherent structure has been making it challenging for the cyclone to continue to strengthen in the presence of increasing shear, dry air, and slowly cooling SSTs, and it is now looking less possible that Nate comes ashore as a Major. However, this is not the time to conclude all is well. Nate is a ferocious Category One Hurricane, with a very strong and long fetch of southerly winds blowing in, with attendant significant storm surge, and damaging gusts. Also, the usual risk for tornadoes exists, and SPC has 5% TORN probabilities up.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* HURRICANE Nate MikeCAdministrator Sat Oct 07 2017 10:34 PM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Fri Oct 06 2017 07:14 AM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 07 2017 05:01 AM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 07 2017 10:34 PM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge Genesis   Sat Oct 07 2017 04:09 PM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge richg   Sat Oct 07 2017 08:35 PM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Sat Oct 07 2017 10:17 PM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge Bloodstar   Fri Oct 06 2017 02:37 PM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Fri Oct 06 2017 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Fri Oct 06 2017 06:35 AM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Fri Oct 06 2017 06:06 AM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge cieldumort   Fri Oct 06 2017 01:59 AM
. * * Re: Nate Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Oct 06 2017 02:50 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) cieldumort   Wed Oct 04 2017 06:03 AM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) MikeCAdministrator   Wed Oct 04 2017 10:05 AM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) Lamar-Plant City   Wed Oct 04 2017 04:26 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) Marknole   Wed Oct 04 2017 11:19 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) Keith B   Wed Oct 04 2017 11:37 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) Keith B   Thu Oct 05 2017 12:28 AM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) JMII   Thu Oct 05 2017 02:58 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) Prospero   Thu Oct 05 2017 11:03 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) JMII   Fri Oct 06 2017 02:45 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) MikeCAdministrator   Thu Oct 05 2017 11:14 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) Prospero   Thu Oct 05 2017 11:47 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) cieldumort   Wed Oct 04 2017 05:03 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) MikeCAdministrator   Wed Oct 04 2017 06:49 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) OrlandoDan   Wed Oct 04 2017 10:44 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge (West Caribbean) OrlandoDan   Wed Oct 04 2017 12:48 AM

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