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94L organizing well east of the Caribbean with a high chance of developing. NW Gulf also an area to watch next week. Busy for June.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 285 (Nicholas) , Major: 301 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1355 (Michael) Major: 1355 (Michael)

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Reged: Sun
Posts: 4439
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: May Gulf Area
      Sun May 13 2018 05:06 PM

GFS isn't really latching on too well but does show a weak area landfalling in the western Florida Panhandle Thursday early morning. The newe Experimental FV3 (Finite Volume Cubed Sphere) GFS shows it a lot better, as a tropical storm.

Euro shows it meandering a bit in the northeast Gulf first, possible TS or SubTS Thursday into the same area.

CMC and Navgem are also similar.

in short, rain event and likely not much more, but very interesting for this time of year.

Interesting footnote the long range (aka Fantasy range) GFS shows a stronger gulf system the week after next) continues to be one of the better model links.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* May Gulf Area MikeCAdministrator Sun May 13 2018 05:06 PM
. * * Re: May Gulf Area MikeCAdministrator   Sun May 13 2018 05:06 PM
. * * Re: May Gulf EMS   Sun May 13 2018 09:00 PM
. * * Re: May Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Sun May 13 2018 10:42 PM
. * * Re: May Gulf MikeCAdministrator   Mon May 14 2018 07:00 AM

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