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cieldumortModerator
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Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: 92L Lounge
      Wed Sep 05 2018 11:34 AM

There was indeed an overnight jump in where the disturbance is centered. From 11N 26.6W at 05 06z to 12.4N 27.4W at 05 1200z.. It is not clear to me if 92L was analyzed much too far south to begin with, or if a new center began to take over, but it looks to be the former.

This will have impacts on model runs going forward, possibly not only changing models' forecast track and intensity of this Invest, but potentially even tweaking some of the steering currents and environments around Major Hurricane Florence, as well as that of waves behind it.

Visible imagery better shows that 92L is not yet nearly a tropical cyclone as the Composite microwave image in the entry above suggested as possible. While a healthy structure exists, the disturbance does not yet have enough organized deep convection.

NHC 50% within 48 hours, 90% within 5 days

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Isaac Lounge cieldumortModerator Wed Sep 05 2018 11:34 AM
. * * Re: Isaac Lounge cieldumortModerator   Mon Sep 17 2018 02:45 AM
. * * Re: Isaac Lounge cieldumortModerator   Mon Sep 17 2018 12:30 PM
. * * Re: Isaac Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sun Sep 16 2018 06:41 PM
. * * Re: Isaac Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sun Sep 16 2018 05:43 PM
. * * Invest Isaac cieldumortModerator   Sat Sep 15 2018 06:38 PM
. * * Re: Isaac danielwAdministrator   Mon Sep 10 2018 05:49 PM
. * * Re: Isaac JMII   Mon Sep 10 2018 09:47 PM
. * * Isaac B.C.Francis   Mon Sep 10 2018 05:15 PM
. * * Re: Isaac cieldumortModerator   Tue Sep 11 2018 04:06 AM
. * * Re: Isaac JMII   Tue Sep 11 2018 10:27 PM
. * * Re: Isaac JMII   Wed Sep 12 2018 08:22 PM
. * * Re: Isaac OrlandoDan   Thu Sep 13 2018 06:04 AM
. * * Re: Isaac IsoFlame   Fri Sep 14 2018 06:13 PM
. * * Re: Isaac cieldumortModerator   Mon Sep 10 2018 09:34 PM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Wed Sep 05 2018 05:28 AM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Wed Sep 05 2018 11:34 AM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge MissBecky   Thu Sep 06 2018 05:36 AM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 06 2018 07:08 AM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge OrlandoDan   Sun Sep 09 2018 06:54 AM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 09 2018 08:44 AM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 09 2018 08:22 PM
. * * Re: 92L Lounge JMII   Mon Sep 10 2018 01:47 PM
. * * Re: New: E ATL Wave MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 03 2018 09:47 AM

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