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#98L continues pushing inland Deep S. TX. Heavy, banding precip with gusts to Trop Storm force along the S. TX coast currently underway.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 334 (Nicholas) , Major: 350 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1404 (Michael) Major: 1404 (Michael)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2018 Forecast Lounge

cieldumortModerator
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Loc: Austin, Tx
95L Lounge
      Sun Sep 09 2018 01:56 PM



A disturbance we have been tracking in the western Caribbean has now been outlined by NHC as an area of interest once it gets into the western Gulf of Mexico, as development is being held in check by moderate shear in the western Caribbean, but shear could be sufficiently lighter closer to Texas.

Both Texas and Louisiana have already picked up copious rains over the past several days from monsoonal moisture, upper air disturbances, weak fronts, and even a borderline-TD . This disturbance could easily exacerbate flooding in the region, regardless of TC genesis.

NHC has placed an opening bid of 20% for TC development within 5 days, and despite limited model support, it could be conservative.

This feature is not yet Invest tagged, but may pick one up today or tomorrow, and the title will be updated accordingly.

This feature is now Invest tagged 95L and the title has been updated. - Ciel



Edited by cieldumort (Mon Sep 10 2018 01:32 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* 95L Lounge cieldumortModerator Sun Sep 09 2018 01:56 PM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sat Sep 15 2018 06:06 PM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Fri Sep 14 2018 04:57 PM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Sep 11 2018 06:48 AM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Sep 11 2018 04:52 AM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Mon Sep 10 2018 02:05 PM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Mon Sep 10 2018 01:37 PM
. * * Re: NW Car. - W Gulf Disturbance cieldumortModerator   Mon Sep 10 2018 04:39 AM
. * * Re: NW Car. - W Gulf Disturbance cieldumortModerator   Sun Sep 09 2018 05:33 PM
. * * Re: NW Car. - W Gulf Disturbance MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 09 2018 04:09 PM
. * * Re: NW Car. - W Gulf Disturbance danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 09 2018 02:34 PM

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