MikeC
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Loc: Orlando, FL
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Re: Florence Lounge
Mon Sep 10 2018 06:23 AM
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0z Model Runs: Mixed shifts, mean is around Wilmington still, Euro ensembles shifted left, UK shifted right. GFS on the right. Nearly all hit land.
0Z GFS Cat 4 landfall near Morehead City, NC late Thursday night or very Early Friday morning, then excessive flooding rain as it slowly drifts westward across NC, through Monday at least.
12Z Eruo shifts a bit south, Landfall cat 4 near NC/SC border Thursday night, then moves inland to the mountains of NC/TN through Sunday night, then southeast into South Carolina Monday, back into the Altantic SE of Charleston by Tuesday (18th), and starts to restrengthen offshore by Wednesday (19th) ends Thursday (20th) Due east of St. Augustine, FL and south of Morehead City, NC in the Atlantic.
0Z UKmet takes the storm into just south of Cape Hatteras Thursday night and inside the outer banks into southeast Virginia.
0Z F3 GFS Landfall near Oak Island, NC Cat 3 Thursday night, moves inland to about High Point, NC by Saturday afternoon, then loops and back out to sea near Wilmington by Monday night, then keeps it out to sea.
0Z CMC Approaches Wilmington, NC Thursday night stalls just offshore as a cat 3 (within 20-50 miles) the eventually makes landfall as a cat 2 at Wilmington on Monday. Then creeps toward Raleigh and Virginia until Wednesday.
0z HWRF has a cat 3/4 landfall near Wilmington, NC Thursday night or very early Friday Morning. Then makes it toward Central NC where the run ends on Saturday.
0Z HMON Has landfall Friday morning near Jacksonville, NC as a cat 3/4 hurricane. The meanders just inland until Saturday when the run ends.
0Z German Icon has a Cape Hatteras landfall Friday morning as a cat 3/4 hurricane. Then meanders around in the sounds through Sunday night.then it slides into West Virginia from there.
Euro Ensembles:
UK:
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