Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Models are starting to notice trof in the Gulf. Could become yet another TD-like system this weekend, even if not named. #txwx
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 334 (Nicholas) , Major: 349 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1403 (Michael) Major: 1403 (Michael)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2018 Forecast Lounge

MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 4441
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Florence Lounge
      Mon Sep 10 2018 06:23 AM

0z Model Runs: Mixed shifts, mean is around Wilmington still, Euro ensembles shifted left, UK shifted right. GFS on the right. Nearly all hit land.

0Z GFS Cat 4 landfall near Morehead City, NC late Thursday night or very Early Friday morning, then excessive flooding rain as it slowly drifts westward across NC, through Monday at least.

12Z Eruo shifts a bit south, Landfall cat 4 near NC/SC border Thursday night, then moves inland to the mountains of NC/TN through Sunday night, then southeast into South Carolina Monday, back into the Altantic SE of Charleston by Tuesday (18th), and starts to restrengthen offshore by Wednesday (19th) ends Thursday (20th) Due east of St. Augustine, FL and south of Morehead City, NC in the Atlantic.

0Z UKmet takes the storm into just south of Cape Hatteras Thursday night and inside the outer banks into southeast Virginia.

0Z F3 GFS Landfall near Oak Island, NC Cat 3 Thursday night, moves inland to about High Point, NC by Saturday afternoon, then loops and back out to sea near Wilmington by Monday night, then keeps it out to sea.

0Z CMC Approaches Wilmington, NC Thursday night stalls just offshore as a cat 3 (within 20-50 miles) the eventually makes landfall as a cat 2 at Wilmington on Monday. Then creeps toward Raleigh and Virginia until Wednesday.

0z HWRF has a cat 3/4 landfall near Wilmington, NC Thursday night or very early Friday Morning. Then makes it toward Central NC where the run ends on Saturday.

0Z HMON Has landfall Friday morning near Jacksonville, NC as a cat 3/4 hurricane. The meanders just inland until Saturday when the run ends.

0Z German Icon has a Cape Hatteras landfall Friday morning as a cat 3/4 hurricane. Then meanders around in the sounds through Sunday night.then it slides into West Virginia from there.

Euro Ensembles:


UK:



Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator Mon Sep 10 2018 06:23 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Thu Sep 13 2018 04:29 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Sep 11 2018 04:36 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge BloodstarModerator   Tue Sep 11 2018 02:32 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge BloodstarModerator   Tue Sep 11 2018 02:41 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 11 2018 03:02 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 11 2018 07:02 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Joeyfl   Tue Sep 11 2018 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 11 2018 09:00 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Random Chaos   Wed Sep 12 2018 06:24 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Joeyfl   Tue Sep 11 2018 11:51 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge SC Bill   Wed Sep 12 2018 01:40 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Wed Sep 12 2018 04:02 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 12 2018 08:50 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge tpratchModerator   Thu Sep 13 2018 08:01 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge craigm   Thu Sep 13 2018 12:05 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Prospero   Thu Sep 13 2018 12:54 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge IsoFlame   Thu Sep 13 2018 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Thu Sep 13 2018 04:08 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge JMII   Thu Sep 13 2018 05:25 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Prospero   Thu Sep 13 2018 07:11 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Joeyfl   Thu Sep 13 2018 07:46 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Prospero   Thu Sep 13 2018 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Thu Sep 13 2018 08:44 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Fri Sep 14 2018 03:51 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Prospero   Fri Sep 14 2018 05:55 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 14 2018 04:00 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Prospero   Fri Sep 14 2018 06:02 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 14 2018 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge JMII   Thu Sep 13 2018 11:01 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Prospero   Fri Sep 14 2018 06:22 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Prospero   Fri Sep 14 2018 06:37 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 14 2018 08:20 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Thu Sep 13 2018 04:04 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge tpratchModerator   Thu Sep 13 2018 01:14 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 12 2018 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 12 2018 06:49 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Prospero   Wed Sep 12 2018 05:47 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge BloodstarModerator   Wed Sep 12 2018 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Prospero   Wed Sep 12 2018 06:21 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Prospero   Wed Sep 12 2018 06:44 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge BloodstarModerator   Wed Sep 12 2018 03:00 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sun Sep 09 2018 12:03 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sun Sep 09 2018 01:45 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sun Sep 09 2018 03:43 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 09 2018 12:19 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sat Sep 08 2018 05:30 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Prospero   Sat Sep 08 2018 07:02 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sat Sep 08 2018 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Fri Sep 07 2018 04:33 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 07 2018 09:12 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 08 2018 12:17 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge dolfinatic   Sat Sep 08 2018 12:51 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 08 2018 08:00 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 09 2018 06:52 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge RedingtonBeachGuyModerator   Mon Sep 10 2018 02:19 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 10 2018 06:23 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 10 2018 06:30 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 10 2018 02:08 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 09 2018 03:54 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 08 2018 09:51 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 08 2018 12:27 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 08 2018 02:29 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Bev   Sat Sep 08 2018 01:35 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Joeyfl   Sat Sep 08 2018 02:08 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 08 2018 02:05 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Wed Sep 05 2018 12:23 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Wed Sep 05 2018 02:21 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 06 2018 06:09 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Doombot!   Thu Sep 06 2018 06:36 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 06 2018 04:18 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 07 2018 12:34 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 07 2018 06:14 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 07 2018 12:29 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Joeyfl   Wed Sep 05 2018 01:41 PM
. * * Re: HURRICANE FLORENCE cieldumortModerator   Wed Sep 05 2018 04:57 AM
. * * Re: HURRICANE FLORENCE MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 05 2018 07:04 AM
. * * Re: HURRICANE FLORENCE cieldumortModerator   Wed Sep 05 2018 05:00 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 03 2018 07:38 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 03 2018 03:16 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 03 2018 03:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 03 2018 09:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Sep 04 2018 02:12 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Sep 04 2018 06:12 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sun Sep 02 2018 07:21 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sat Sep 01 2018 05:28 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 01 2018 08:23 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 01 2018 09:43 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge ftlaudbob   Sat Sep 01 2018 10:07 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 01 2018 02:49 PM
. * * Re: Strong W Africa Wave cieldumortModerator   Thu Aug 30 2018 05:56 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 0 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  CFHC, MikeC, Ed Dunham, Colleen A., Atricks, danielw, Clark, Christine H, RedingtonBeachGuy, SkeetoBite, Bloodstar, tpratch, typhoon_tip, cieldumort, Jackie M, Wigeon, Hank Buck 



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 95783

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center