First of all, good luck and be safe to all in the ultimate path of Florence. Knowing just who that may be, though, is challenging at the moment.
Located in Hilton Head, Beaufort County, SC, it has been a roller coaster. First, a mandatory evacuation was called- and then rescinded just before it took effect. Soon after we seemed to be "in the clear", the models went coordinated crazy and started heading for landfall in SC. At this hour, the spaghetti models are all over SC, and NC is almost in the clear. HOWEVER, there's no extension of watches or warnings southward on the coast, no change of "hurricane local statement", but our ordinary, old NOAA forecast includes:
Friday Night: Tropical storm conditions possible. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77.
Saturday: Tropical storm conditions possible. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday Night: Tropical storm conditions possible. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday: Hurricane conditions possible. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
What to do? Leave early in the morning and try to avoid jammed evac routes when the order is issued again? wait it out, and leave at the last minute? Guidance would be gratefully accepted: With a wife, daughter, son in law, 5 yr old and 11 month old g-daughters, 2 dogs and a cat, this is not an easy caravan to deal with!! Thanks.