Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Very quiet now as shear and dry Saharan air cover much of the Atlantic
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 294 (Nicholas) , Major: 310 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1364 (Michael) Major: 1364 (Michael)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2018 Forecast Lounge

cieldumortModerator
Moderator


Reged: Mon
Posts: 2132
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Florence Lounge
      Thu Sep 13 2018 04:29 AM


As can be seen in the image above taken 09-13-18 0712z, outflow is expanding west, north and east overnight, but is still being severely impinged upon south and southeast. This is primarily the result of some dry air and shear sent her way from both the ULL to the southwest of the hurricane, as well as stout shots from the circulation around a high to her east.

The ULL should continue to drift southwest, while Florence tracks initially a little north of west, and over the warmer waters of the gulf stream. This combination should allow for a window in which some reorganization and deepening can occur, and it would not be surprising to see the hurricane back up to a Saffir-Simpson major prior to landfall.

More troublesome for residents along the southeast coast, however, is not the SS wind rating Flo's got, but a vastly larger Hurricane Force (HF) wind radius. As noted elsewhere, this is going to increase the surge potential over a much larger area. For comparison, Katrina underwent similar changes, making final landfall as Cat 2/3 on Louisiana, yet the surge was record-setting in large part due to her size and time over water.

Worse yet, given the probability that this cyclone slows down to a crawl for quite a while, this surge will not let up any time soon over some places - even forcing rivers to run backwards, thereby not allowing all of the runoff from the torrential rains further inland from exiting into the ocean - and that water will have to go somewhere.

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator Thu Sep 13 2018 04:29 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Thu Sep 13 2018 04:29 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Sep 11 2018 04:36 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge BloodstarModerator   Tue Sep 11 2018 02:32 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge BloodstarModerator   Tue Sep 11 2018 02:41 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 11 2018 03:02 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 11 2018 07:02 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Joeyfl   Tue Sep 11 2018 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 11 2018 09:00 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Random Chaos   Wed Sep 12 2018 06:24 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Joeyfl   Tue Sep 11 2018 11:51 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge SC Bill   Wed Sep 12 2018 01:40 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Wed Sep 12 2018 04:02 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 12 2018 08:50 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge tpratchModerator   Thu Sep 13 2018 08:01 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge craigm   Thu Sep 13 2018 12:05 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Prospero   Thu Sep 13 2018 12:54 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge IsoFlame   Thu Sep 13 2018 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Thu Sep 13 2018 04:08 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge JMII   Thu Sep 13 2018 05:25 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Prospero   Thu Sep 13 2018 07:11 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Joeyfl   Thu Sep 13 2018 07:46 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Prospero   Thu Sep 13 2018 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Thu Sep 13 2018 08:44 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Fri Sep 14 2018 03:51 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Prospero   Fri Sep 14 2018 05:55 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 14 2018 04:00 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Prospero   Fri Sep 14 2018 06:02 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 14 2018 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge JMII   Thu Sep 13 2018 11:01 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Prospero   Fri Sep 14 2018 06:22 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Prospero   Fri Sep 14 2018 06:37 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge JMII   Fri Sep 14 2018 08:20 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Thu Sep 13 2018 04:04 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge tpratchModerator   Thu Sep 13 2018 01:14 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 12 2018 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 12 2018 06:49 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Prospero   Wed Sep 12 2018 05:47 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge BloodstarModerator   Wed Sep 12 2018 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Prospero   Wed Sep 12 2018 06:21 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Prospero   Wed Sep 12 2018 06:44 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge BloodstarModerator   Wed Sep 12 2018 03:00 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sun Sep 09 2018 12:03 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sun Sep 09 2018 01:45 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sun Sep 09 2018 03:43 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 09 2018 12:19 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sat Sep 08 2018 05:30 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Prospero   Sat Sep 08 2018 07:02 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sat Sep 08 2018 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Fri Sep 07 2018 04:33 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 07 2018 09:12 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 08 2018 12:17 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge dolfinatic   Sat Sep 08 2018 12:51 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 08 2018 08:00 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 09 2018 06:52 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge RedingtonBeachGuyModerator   Mon Sep 10 2018 02:19 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 10 2018 06:23 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 10 2018 06:30 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 10 2018 02:08 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 09 2018 03:54 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 08 2018 09:51 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 08 2018 12:27 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 08 2018 02:29 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Bev   Sat Sep 08 2018 01:35 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Joeyfl   Sat Sep 08 2018 02:08 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 08 2018 02:05 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Wed Sep 05 2018 12:23 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Wed Sep 05 2018 02:21 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 06 2018 06:09 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Doombot!   Thu Sep 06 2018 06:36 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 06 2018 04:18 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 07 2018 12:34 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 07 2018 06:14 AM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 07 2018 12:29 PM
. * * Re: Florence Lounge Joeyfl   Wed Sep 05 2018 01:41 PM
. * * Re: HURRICANE FLORENCE cieldumortModerator   Wed Sep 05 2018 04:57 AM
. * * Re: HURRICANE FLORENCE MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 05 2018 07:04 AM
. * * Re: HURRICANE FLORENCE cieldumortModerator   Wed Sep 05 2018 05:00 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 03 2018 07:38 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 03 2018 03:16 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 03 2018 03:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 03 2018 09:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Sep 04 2018 02:12 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge IsoFlame   Tue Sep 04 2018 06:12 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sun Sep 02 2018 07:21 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sat Sep 01 2018 05:28 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 01 2018 08:23 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 01 2018 09:43 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge ftlaudbob   Sat Sep 01 2018 10:07 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 01 2018 02:49 PM
. * * Re: Strong W Africa Wave cieldumortModerator   Thu Aug 30 2018 05:56 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 0 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  CFHC, MikeC, Ed Dunham, Colleen A., Atricks, danielw, Clark, Christine H, RedingtonBeachGuy, SkeetoBite, Bloodstar, tpratch, typhoon_tip, cieldumort, Jackie M, Wigeon, Hank Buck 



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 94858

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center