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cieldumortModerator
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Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions
      Fri May 31 2019 11:34 PM

Using a slightly tweaked version of a general formula I've been working on the past several years, I'm going with a range of
11-17 Names, 5-9 Hurricanes, 2-4 Majors, and for the purpose of our contest 14 Names, 7 Hurricanes, 3 Majors (Including our already named "A storm").

As for Atlantic-side (Gulf, Caribbean, Atlantic) US impacts (continental and/or islands), I'm looking for:
*Better than historical average odds of TC landfalls.
*Better than the historical average of flood-producing tropical cyclone impacts (potentially including "just" Tropical Depression/s).
*Average historical odds of a Major US landfall (less than 2018, but still significant!)

In the Central/East Pac, the potential for another above-average impact season (Hawaii, California/Southwest).


2019 Contest Numbers in the Atlantic:
14 Names, 7 Hurricanes, 3 Majors

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions MikeCAdministrator Fri May 31 2019 11:34 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions IsoFlame   Tue Jun 04 2019 02:24 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 05 2019 07:02 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions cieldumortModerator   Fri May 31 2019 11:34 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions BloodstarModerator   Sat Jun 01 2019 03:54 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions bob3d   Sat Jun 01 2019 01:20 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions Kraig   Tue Jun 04 2019 07:17 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions IMTechspec   Wed May 29 2019 07:54 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions gsand   Tue May 28 2019 05:55 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions JoshuaK   Thu May 23 2019 07:17 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions M.A.   Fri May 24 2019 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions vpbob21   Mon May 20 2019 12:55 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions Larry   Thu May 23 2019 01:28 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions IsoFlame   Sun May 12 2019 11:10 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions IsoFlame   Mon May 27 2019 02:45 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions doug   Fri May 10 2019 06:02 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions jtrnr1951   Sat May 11 2019 06:23 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions MissBecky   Wed May 08 2019 05:09 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions beachcrafts   Wed May 08 2019 08:31 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions MichaelA   Sat May 04 2019 06:13 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions B.C.Francis   Tue May 07 2019 10:07 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions Wingwiper   Sat May 04 2019 12:35 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions EMS   Sat May 04 2019 04:17 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2019 and Number Predictions ftlaudbob   Wed May 01 2019 12:01 PM

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