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Invest 97L has dropped to 30% chance of development over the next 5 days. Watching as it rapidly moves west over the Atlantic.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 331 (Nicholas) , Major: 346 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1400 (Michael) Major: 1400 (Michael)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2019 Forecast Lounge

cieldumortModerator
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Invest 90L Lounge (W Gulf)
      Fri Aug 23 2019 03:43 PM



A very moist and convectively active trough of low pressure now in the western Gulf of Mexico is producing an area of showers and thunderstorms. Recent satellite and microwave imagery, plus surface reports from ships, oil rigs and buoys, all suggest that surface low pressure may be trying to form.

Conditions are somewhat favorable for significant development, and the system is already very close to land. Given trends the potential for a TD/TD-like or even a wet Tropical Storm is reasonable enough to start a Lounge considering the potential impacts regardless of further development.

At present, NHC has not placed odds on this system, but this could definitely change later today, and I would encourage anyone who might be concerned to check back here as well as with their local NWS offices and preferred media outlets.

Edited by cieldumort (Sat Aug 24 2019 12:52 PM)

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* Invest 90L Lounge (W Gulf) cieldumortModerator Fri Aug 23 2019 03:43 PM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Lounge (W Gulf) cieldumortModerator   Sat Aug 24 2019 03:00 PM

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