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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
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Robert Lauriault
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Re: Dorian In the Atlantic (Less) Likely Florida Bound
      Sat Aug 31 2019 10:32 AM

Mike, in your effort to remain conservative and avoid hype, I wonder if you are not going to far.
A Cat 4 storm 40 or 50 miles off the coast would produce a storm surge that would do enormous damage. St. Augustine has been flooded in the last two storms and may be again. Real estate values there will likely tank if that happens as it will become virtually impossible to insure properties that have been flooded three times. Other coastal locations may suffer the same. We have all seen a number of storms threaten the east coast and then, at the last minute, veer off shore. I prey that that is what will happen this time as well, but a nearby Cat 3 could be worse than an on-shore Cat 1. Do you see my point?

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Dorian In the Atlantic (Less) Likely Florida Bound MikeCAdministrator Sat Aug 31 2019 10:32 AM
. * * Re: Dorian In the Atlantic (Less) Likely Florida Bound MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 31 2019 09:33 PM
. * * Re: Dorian In the Atlantic (Less) Likely Florida Bound Prospero   Sat Aug 31 2019 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Dorian In the Atlantic (Less) Likely Florida Bound cieldumort   Sat Aug 31 2019 08:01 PM
. * * Re: Dorian In the Atlantic (Less) Likely Florida Bound Robert Lauriault   Sat Aug 31 2019 10:32 AM
. * * Re: Dorian In the Atlantic Likely Florida Bound Psyber   Fri Aug 30 2019 09:59 PM
. * * Re: Dorian In the Atlantic Likely Florida Bound MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 30 2019 09:35 PM
. * * Re: Dorian In the Atlantic Likely Florida Bound MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 30 2019 07:10 PM
. * * Re: Dorian In the Atlantic Likely Florida Bound typhoon_tip   Fri Aug 30 2019 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Dorian In the Atlantic Likely Florida Bound MichaelA   Fri Aug 30 2019 05:20 PM
. * * Re: Dorian In the Atlantic Likely Florida Bound OrlandoDan   Fri Aug 30 2019 03:47 PM
. * * Re: Dorian In the Atlantic Likely Florida Bound typhoon_tip   Fri Aug 30 2019 03:04 PM
. * * Re: Dorian In the Atlantic Likely Florida Bound Jim Anderson   Thu Aug 29 2019 08:33 PM
. * * Re: Dorian In the Atlantic Likely Florida Bound MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 28 2019 09:52 PM

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