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The well-defined Tropical Low (98L) continues producing hvy rain, wind and tstorms over N MX and SW TX. Atlantic waking up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 337 (Nicholas) , Major: 352 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1406 (Michael) Major: 1406 (Michael)

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Loc: Austin, Tx
Invest 94L Lounge
      Tue Sep 03 2019 11:23 PM

IR of Pre-Invest Wave 9-4-19-0245z

A robust Wave with associated surface low pressure about to enter the far eastern Atlantic has some appreciable early model support for development in the Tropical Atlantic late this week or weekend as it moves west to west-northwest from south of the Cabo Verde Islands. NHC gives it a 70% chance of becoming a TD or Named Storm within the next 5 days.

This feature is likely to be Invest tagged by Thursday, and although it is very far out in the ocean with plenty of time to track, indications are that it will take a more southerly route, which over time, would put the southwestern Atlantic in play if verified. As such, we are now starting a Lounge on what will likely get tagged Invest 94L soon.

More info to come. 9/5/19 Title updated as Wave/Low has been tagged 94L. NHC odds down a little from initial 70%, but this also suggests potential for slower development, and thus, potential for a more west to west-northwest track during the next several days (less likely to head out to sea in the near to medium term).

Edited by cieldumort (Thu Sep 05 2019 09:47 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Invest 94L Lounge cieldumortModerator Tue Sep 03 2019 11:23 PM
. * * Re: Invest 94L Lounge ObsFromNWFL   Sat Sep 07 2019 07:19 PM
. * * Re: Invest 94L Lounge OrlandoDan   Sun Sep 08 2019 09:07 AM
. * * Re: Invest 94L Lounge Joeyfl   Sun Sep 08 2019 11:05 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Wave 94L(?) greywolf   Thu Sep 05 2019 09:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Wave 94L(?) Keith B   Fri Sep 06 2019 07:18 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Wave 94L(?) greywolf   Fri Sep 06 2019 08:38 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Wave 94L(?) Keith B   Fri Sep 06 2019 08:25 PM

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