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The 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season Starts June 1st, 2023.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 138 (Nicole) , Major: 181 (Ian) Florida - Any: 138 (Nicole) Major: 181 (Ian)

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Reged: Mon
Posts: 2184
Loc: Austin, Tx
Back Half of the Season Kicking off With Multiple Systems
      Mon Sep 16 2019 08:00 PM

Conditions for development across the Atlantic are entering a new phase, with several systems worth watching, not the least of which is powerful Hurricane Humberto, now expected to become a Major within the next 36 hours and potentially directly impact Bermuda.

Much closer to the CONUS, an area of disturbed weather in the western Gulf of Mexico has strong model support to produce a deluge in eastern Texas whether or not it ever gets a name. This system is potentially a particularly dangerous situation unfolding, and just because it does not already have a name (and may never get one) is no reason not to prepare for something akin to a very slow moving Tropical Storm, with training bands of showers and thunderstorms setting up over some of the same areas - exact locations which as of yet are still unknown, but could even include parts of the very flood-prone Houston metro.

In the eastern Caribbean we are still keeping an eye out on Invest 96L, which is being held in check from high shear. However, behind 96L we are laser focused on 97L, with now 90% NHC odds of development, and a track that at this point is just too close to call for the Antilles.

As always, feel free to follow along with us in the Forecast Lounge, where we dive into a good deal of model talk.
Current active Lounges include:
Humberto Lounge , Invest 96L Lounge , Jerry Lounge, Imelda Lounge , Invest 99L Lounge

Harris County Flood Warning System









Edited by MikeC (Sun Sep 22 2019 10:45 AM)

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* Back Half of the Season Kicking off With Multiple Systems cieldumortModerator Mon Sep 16 2019 08:00 PM

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