Current Radar or Satellite Image - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995

Today is the last day of the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season. 8 landfalls including Ida, but no landfalls in the late season.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 83 (Nicholas) , Major: 99 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1153 (Michael) Major: 1153 (Michael)

Archives 2010s >> 2020 Forecast Lounge


Reged: Mon
Posts: 2112
Loc: Austin, Tx
Teddy Lounge
      Thu Sep 10 2020 05:45 AM

Above: East Atlantic Wave 09/10/20 0925z

An impressive wave is moving off the west coast of Africa today and has a high chance of development as conditions look favorable as it travels westward. (NHC 60%/90%).

This wave is not yet Invest tagged, but will be any time now, and we will update the title accordingly.

Model guidance has been uniformly bullish and steadfast on ramping this wave up into a strong tropical cyclone, and while yet very early, interests from the Greater Antilles to the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico may already want to begin keeping watch of this one, as this disturbance has some potential to become a long-track, high ACE, significant hurricane with multiple landfalls, given that it is starting further south than others we have been watching roll off Africa, and is set to enjoy peak season conditions for development.

Long-range model guidance 09/0z Runs:

ECMWF - Strong Tropical Storm or perhaps Cat 1 just off the north coast of central Cuba on 0z Sunday Sep 20 (end of run)

GFS - 967hPa hurricane crossing the Leeward Islands 0z Thursday Sep 14, 951hPa just south of Hispaniola on 0z Saturday Sep 19, growing in size 952hPa hurricane just south of western Cuba 12z Tuesday Sep 22, large 954hPa hurricane approaching landfall somewhere around Ozello along the west coast of Florida by 0z Friday Sep 25.

This disturbance has been Invest tagged this evening (95L) and the title has been updated accordingly. On 9/12/20 95L was, at long last, designated a Tropical Cyclone ;-) TD20 and the title has been updated.

Fully vaccinated as of May 2021
(Moderna x2)

Edited by cieldumort (Mon Sep 14 2020 05:43 AM)

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator

Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Teddy Lounge cieldumortModerator Thu Sep 10 2020 05:45 AM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Fri Sep 11 2020 11:22 AM
. * * Re: 95L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Thu Sep 10 2020 08:33 PM
. * * Re: Vigorous E Atlantic Wave cieldumortModerator   Thu Sep 10 2020 01:26 PM

Extra information
0 registered and 0 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  CFHC, MikeC, Ed Dunham, Colleen A., Atricks, danielw, Clark, Christine H, RedingtonBeachGuy, SkeetoBite, Bloodstar, tpratch, typhoon_tip, cieldumort, Jackie M, Wigeon, Hank Buck 

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Thread views: 3522

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center