Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Atlantic suddenly become quiet again with nothing tropical on the horizon.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 38 (Nicholas) , Major: 54 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1108 (Michael) Major: 1108 (Michael)
 


News Talkback >> 2021 News Talkbacks

MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 4426
Loc: Orlando, FL
End of June Waves
      Thu Jun 24 2021 08:50 AM

10PM EDT 29 June Update
Just as soon as we said goodbye to Invest 96L that went on to become a soaking Tropical Storm Danny while over portions of southern SC, and then into Georgia and points west, we say hello to Invest 97L.

As 97L is getting its act together way out in the Main Development Region (MDR) of the Tropical Atlantic, there will not be the urgency of a PTC "Potential Tropical Cyclone" Watch/Warning feature as we tend to see when systems are likely to develop within 48 hours of impacting land. However, as of this update, the Invest otherwise has two feet firmly planted in the potential TC bin, and it would not surprise to see it go on to become yet another named storm sooner rather than later, and it could become a long-track TC.

The next name on the list of the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season is Elsa.

Ciel

7PM EDT 27 June Update
Invest 96L located about 425 or so miles east-southeast of the Georgia-South Carolina border as of this update, has been on the cusp of being classifable as a TD during the afternoon, and has a decent shot of being upgraded as early as later tonight, with perhaps even better odds tomorrow when the low travels across the warm Gulf Stream.

Interests offshore, along the coasts of, and inland of Georgia and South Carolina may want to being taking some precautions for a land-falling wet and blustery depression or storm early in the new week.

Ciel

Original Entry
The strong wave in the far east Atlantic has a 40% chance to develop over the next 5 days with the highest chance for development in the short term in about 2-4 days. Past that windshear increases which would make it much less likely, at least until it crosses the Atlantic, it's still fairly early in the hurricane season. It's unlikely to do much beyond this even further out, but it is still something to watch.

Since convection improved quite a bit with it overnight, it was enough to get this tagged as Invest area 95L. So the best chance for development is in the next 4 days before it hits the shear mentioned above.

The other wave just east of the Caribbean continues to decrease chances for development, hovering around 10%. Not much is expected here other than rain in the Islands.

The system in the far east Atlantic is now being tracked as Invest 95L.

{{StormLinks|95L|95|5|2021|95|Invest 95L}}

{{StormLinks|97L|97|6|2021|97|97L}}

{{StormCarib}}

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* End of June Waves MikeCAdministrator Thu Jun 24 2021 08:50 AM
. * * Re: End of June Waves danielwAdministrator   Wed Jun 30 2021 02:52 PM

Extra information
0 registered and 31 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  CFHC, MikeC, Ed Dunham, Colleen A., Atricks, danielw, Clark, Christine H, RedingtonBeachGuy, SkeetoBite, Bloodstar, tpratch, typhoon_tip, cieldumort, Jackie M, Wigeon, Hank Buck 



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 2224

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center