Hurricane Warned Elsa - FLHurricane.com

Follow Up
Strong shear after Elsa regained hurricane strength knocked most of the energy out of Elsa fairly quickly, most of the worst weather was felt in bands far to the east, and not really in Florida, Hilton Head, SC recorded the highest windgust. Rain and flooding rains in parts were somewhat isolated. (Central Florida saw next to nothing except a few bands). It went all the way into Long Island and actually strengthened a little over land due to baroclinic forces before exiting into the Atlantic.

7:45PM EDT July 6 Update
Elsa is a hurricane once again. Recon heading in to see just how strong.

7:30PM EDT July 6 Update
Recon is now heading back in, and there is a very good chance that Elsa is now, or will soon become, a hurricane once again. Recent model wind guidance also suggests peak gusts just offshore, in bays and just inland could be approaching 90 MPH, with that trend going up, and so with very wet soils that are only getting wetter, even any gusts above 40 MPH could begin creating damage, say nothing of 90MPH. It is also worth keeping in mind that taller and/or exposed buildings could see some even stronger gusts than those anticipated at the surface.

Flooding of all types are a serious hazard with Elsa, even after passage. Storm surge and inland flooding are all too often deadly. The time to rush preparations to protect life and property in the direct path and also to the right of Elsa is at hand.

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Elsa Conditions in Your Areaand Elsa Forecast Lounge

Original Update
As forecast, Elsa has intensified over the warm eastern Gulf of Mexico, and recon has found that the cyclone has indeed strengthened beyond what most models were suggesting possible, but which NHC believed was, and as such they had issued a Hurricane Watch for parts of western Florida early this morning. Those Hurricane Watches are going Hurricane Warnings.

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Edited by MikeC (Wed Jul 14 2021 08:43 AM)

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