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Archives 2020s >> 2022 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx
Tropical Storm Bonnie Lounge
      Fri Jun 24 2022 02:44 AM


Invest 94L in the far eastern Atlantic 6-24-22 0625z IR Image cr. Weathernderds.org

A stout tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic has the attention of an increasing number of models and indeed the NHC for unusually early Main Development Region Tropical Cyclogenesis, with a 50% NHC assigned chance of becoming a TC within 5 days, and this could be conservative.

Models are generally on fire for 94L in a way that sort of brings back memories, of 2005, and it is hard to find fault with their bullishness. While there is a long time for us to keep an eye on this wave and it is currently far out in the Atlantic, given the unseasonably favorable conditions for its development and model tracks that take it through the Caribbean as well as potentially into the Gulf of Mexico, we are starting a lounge on newly-Invest tagged 94L at this time.

PTC2 "Ptnl 2" sufficiently organized overnight June 30th and on July 1 has become Tropical Storm Bonnie. The title has been updated accordingly.

Edited by cieldumort (Fri Jul 01 2022 10:41 AM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Bonnie Lounge cieldumort Fri Jun 24 2022 02:44 AM
. * * Re: Invest 94L cieldumort   Mon Jun 27 2022 04:38 AM
. * * Re: Invest 94L cieldumort   Sun Jun 26 2022 03:53 AM

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