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Although still very unlikely to develop or be very strong, there could be an area to watch in the in little more than a week out from energy currently associated with the systems in the East Pacific.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 605 (Milton), US Major: 605 (Milton), FL Any: 605 (Milton), FL Major: 605 (Milton)

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Archives 2020s >> 2022 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx

98L Lounge
Fri Aug 12 2022 01:00 PM

Visible with surface wind plots. 8-12-22 1641z Image credit: College of DuPage

An area of concentrated low pressure forming along a trough in the northern Gulf of Mexico we have been monitoring is showing increasing signs of organization and could very well already have better odds than model guidance and indeed the official NHC 10% of becoming a TD or named storm. Given its extremely close proximity to land, despite its low official odds and lack of an Invest tag at the moment, we are now starting a Forecast Lounge on what will likely be Invest-tagged soon if trends continue.

The trof we have been tracking has just been Invest-tagged 98L and the title is updated accordingly -Ciel

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
98L Lounge	cieldumort	Fri Aug 12 2022 01:00 PM
Re: Peak Season Gulf Trof	cieldumort	Fri Aug 12 2022 02:08 PM

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