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NHC will initiate advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone One (formerly AL90) located over southern Texas, at 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC).

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 614 (Milton), US Major: 614 (Milton), FL Any: 614 (Milton), FL Major: 614 (Milton)

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Archives 2020s >> 2022 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Posts: 2692
Loc: Austin, Tx

PTC4 Lounge
Fri Aug 19 2022 10:51 AM

A convectively active tropical wave/broad low pressure system we have been tracking in near and over the Yucatan has become better defined this morning, and a tropical cyclone may be forming. Conditions continue to appear favorable for development and we are now starting a lounge on this system that is already very close to land.

NHC presently has a 40% odds of 99L becoming a numbered tropical cyclone within 48 hours, and this could be conservative.

Edited by CFHC (Fri Aug 19 2022 04:41 PM)

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PTC4 Lounge	cieldumort	Fri Aug 19 2022 10:51 AM

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