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Although still very unlikely to develop or be very strong, there could be an area to watch in the in little more than a week out from energy currently associated with the systems in the East Pacific.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 605 (Milton), US Major: 605 (Milton), FL Any: 605 (Milton), FL Major: 605 (Milton)
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Archives 2020s >> 2022 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx
Earl Lounge
      Fri Aug 26 2022 06:41 PM



A vigorous and convectively active portion of a broad low pressure with a few embedded smaller-scale vorticity maximas out in the Tropical Atlantic Main Development Region (MDR) has increasing model support, now including both of the primary Globals (GFS and ECMWF) for development, and as such we are starting a Lounge on this feature at this time.

For clarification, as mentioned above and highlighted in the image, this feature actually includes more than one potential center - even more than one potential TD in the making. NHC sort of blends both the two main 'centers' together for tracking, as it does seem likely that one will become dominant, and perhaps also the sole feature.

An Invest number has not yet been issued, but if current trends continue, one could be up as early as this weekend.

More details to come.

The complex area of low pressure we have been tracking has consolidated enough for an Invest tag tonight and is now being tracked as Invest 91L. 8/27/22. Tropical Storm Earl 9/2/22 -Ciel

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Earl Lounge cieldumort Fri Aug 26 2022 06:41 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge cieldumort   Fri Sep 02 2022 08:45 PM
. * * Re: 91L Lounge cieldumort   Sun Aug 28 2022 10:29 PM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Disturbance cieldumort   Sat Aug 27 2022 01:50 AM
. * * Re: Central Atlantic Disturbance MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 28 2022 07:15 PM

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