Quote: SFWMD updates all the models it can every 6 hours, some of them are still the older runs
12Z GFS Is a direct hit on Tampa as a strong cat 3.
See, other than that, most models aren't painting that sort of intensification outlasting the high coming from the Southwest, and I don't believe them,
There's too much hot water and time for Ian to grow for it to just shed possibly 70MPH of strength.
What the Mets on all the tv stations should be screaming about is some very intensive storm surge that even if the stop slows, is going to keep moving, even if the intensification drops. How many times are we going to see "Whew...storm's an H1 but wait...10 footers just took the entire shoreline out in (insert place that thinks billions of tons of windswept water just stops if the wind slows).
-------------------- The safest way to deal with a potential Hurricane hitting you...is to leave and just not be there at all.