Is there a generally accepted explanation for the SSTs? Both this year and last seem to be on the high side of the distribution you provide.
I believe the AMO is on a downward trend now, or at least not as high as it was at the end of '22. I'm not as familiar with these cycles as I'd like to be. Since we're in a moderate El Nino, I was expecting a less active season.
CFLBob - Melbourne
-------------------- Retired engineer who still has more hobbies and interests than time.
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Re: 2023 Season Forecasts (Updated)
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