F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Invest 95L in the Tropical Atlantic now has a 90% chance to develop over the next 7 days, and a 70% chance to do so in the next 48 hours. Recon scheduled for Sunday morning.a
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 302 (Idalia) , Major: 302 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 302 (Idalia) Major: 302 (Idalia)
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 

You are not logged in. [Login] Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

Archives 2020s >> 2023 Forecast Lounge
Previous thread Previous   View all threads Index   Next thread Next   Flat Mode Flat  

cieldumort
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 2327
Loc: Austin, Tx
Franklin Lounge
      Sat Aug 19 2023 04:01 AM



A small but robust tropical wave centered a few hundred miles east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles has been showing increasing signs of organization. This feature has just been Invest tagged 90L, and despite low initial NHC odds for development (0%/30%), this feature may surprise on the upside.

While models are flickering warm/cool on this feature, conditions for development across the Caribbean (including the "Graveyard" eastern Caribbean) are actually quite anomalously favorable. The operational Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability Product shows the Caribbean overall to be running more than twice as conducive for development as normal this time of year, with the bulk of that coming from the eastern Caribbean - with that favorable swath also edging well into the Main Development Region east of the Lesser Antilles.

Given 90L's close proximity to land, the fact that the Invest will soon be landlocked, and the anomalously favorable environment it finds itself in, we are starting a Lounge on this Invest at this time.

Small disturbances often don't make it, but those that do, often overperform.

Track is presently W-WNW at 10 to 15 mph. Should 90L develop and intensify, as is possible, a more poleward track may commence.

Invest 90L has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Franklin at 5PM 8/20 and the title is updated accordingly. - Ciel

Edited by cieldumort (Sun Aug 20 2023 04:43 PM)

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Franklin Lounge cieldumort Sat Aug 19 2023 04:01 AM
. * * Re: Franklin Lounge IsoFlame   Wed Aug 23 2023 06:26 PM
. * * Re: Franklin Lounge IsoFlame   Fri Aug 25 2023 01:27 PM
. * * Re: 90L Lounge cieldumort   Sun Aug 20 2023 02:43 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 10 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 1853

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center