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Archives 2020s >> 2023 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Reged:
Posts: 2705
Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: Lee Lounge
Tue Sep 05 2023 09:35 PM

For funzies, here is my initial lifetime maximum sustained wind intensity best guess for Lee.

40 KTS (current advisory) 0%
45-50 KTS 0%
60 KTS 0%
65 KTS 2%
70-80 KTS 3%
85-95 KTS 3%
100-110 KTS 8%
115-125 KTS 12%
130-135 KTS 22%
140-150 KTS 28%
155-170 KTS 17%
>170 KTS 5%

Or looked at another way, I give a statistical -0- percent chance that Lee does not become a hurricane of any category, a 92% chance that Lee Majors, and for the Six Million Dollar question, how high up the scale does this go: 72% odds that Lee becomes a Cat 4 or 5, and a 50% chance that Lee becomes a Cat 5.

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Lee Lounge	IsoFlame	Tue Sep 05 2023 09:35 PM
Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic	MikeC	Sat Sep 09 2023 03:28 PM
Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic	cieldumort	Sat Sep 09 2023 04:29 PM
Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic	MikeC	Sun Sep 10 2023 02:11 PM
Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic	MikeC	Tue Sep 12 2023 07:41 AM
Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic	MikeC	Tue Sep 12 2023 10:54 PM
Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic	JMII	Fri Sep 15 2023 08:10 AM
Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic	cieldumort	Fri Sep 15 2023 02:21 PM
Re: Low/Wave Pair Far Eastern Atlantic	MikeC	Wed Sep 13 2023 12:16 AM
Re: Lee Lounge	cieldumort	Thu Sep 07 2023 07:32 PM
Re: Lee Lounge	IsoFlame	Thu Sep 07 2023 09:57 PM
Re: Lee Lounge	Rick31416	Thu Sep 07 2023 11:13 PM
Re: Lee Lounge	JMII	Thu Sep 07 2023 11:28 PM
Re: Lee Lounge	MikeC	Sat Sep 09 2023 06:46 AM
Re: Lee Lounge	cieldumort	Tue Sep 05 2023 09:35 PM
Re: Lee Lounge	MikeC	Wed Sep 06 2023 06:38 AM
Re: Lee Lounge	JMII	Wed Sep 06 2023 11:02 AM
Re: Lee Lounge	MikeC	Thu Sep 07 2023 08:02 AM
Re: Lee Lounge	flanewscameraman	Thu Sep 07 2023 06:03 PM
Re: Lee Lounge	cieldumort	Tue Sep 05 2023 09:02 PM
Re: Lee Lounge	cieldumort	Tue Sep 05 2023 05:16 PM
Re: 95L Lounge	cieldumort	Tue Sep 05 2023 10:39 AM
TD13	Robert	Tue Sep 05 2023 02:15 PM
Re: Cape Verde-origin Major Hurricane second week in September?	cieldumort	Mon Sep 04 2023 02:38 PM
Re: Cape Verde-origin Major Hurricane second week in September?	IsoFlame	Mon Sep 04 2023 04:41 PM
Re: Cape Verde-origin Major Hurricane second week in September?	cieldumort	Mon Sep 04 2023 06:01 PM
Re: Cape Verde-origin Major Hurricane second week in September?	IsoFlame	Tue Sep 05 2023 02:25 PM

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