Models increasingly wash out Sean to the northwest of 94L without creating much of an escape hatch for 94L behind him, and instead build high pressure in his place, expanding well to the west, keeping 94L on a generally west to west-northwest heading for several days.
There is strong unanimity among the global models today in this scenario, which could put the eastern Caribbean islands at risk next week should these forecasts hold, and especially so should the more southern ensemble members verify better.
Here are the 12z Ensemble member plots for both the GFS and ECMWF (Cr. Weathernerds)
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