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Historic #HurricaneBeryl is now also the earliest #Cat 5 Hurricane in the Atlantic basin in recorded history
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 306 (Idalia) , Major: 306 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 306 (Idalia) Major: 306 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#13A 1:00 am EDT
13.4N 64.0W
Wind: 155MPH
Pres: 938mb
Moving:
Wnw at 21 mph
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Rem Chris
ADV#4 4:00 pm EDT
20.2N 97.8W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1007mb
Moving:
Wnw at 7 mph
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General Discussion >> 2024 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2341
Loc: Austin, Tx
Chris Lounge
      Fri Jun 28 2024 06:06 PM


Above: Invest 94L at 2145z today. Image cr. Weathernerds.org


A convectively active tropical wave we have been watching in the Caribbean this week is now entering an increasingly less hostile region for development from the northwestern Caribbean to likely into the Bay of Campeche in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by Sunday.

As conditions look increasingly favorable for development, and given its impressive moisture fetch and potential do drop significant rains over areas that recently had a bunch and do not want or need much more so soon regardless of development, we are now starting a Lounge on this feature.

As of this post, NHC odds are still in the low end at 30%, but this could easily prove conservative.

Recon has found that the area of low pressure in the Bay of Campeche we have been watching, Invest tagged 94L, has become a tropical cyclone, and the title has been updated accordingly. 6/30/24 4PM. Named Chris with the 10PM CDT NHC Advisory
Ciel

Edited by cieldumort (Sun Jun 30 2024 11:01 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Chris Lounge cieldumort Fri Jun 28 2024 06:06 PM
. * * Re: THREE Lounge cieldumort   Sun Jun 30 2024 07:08 PM
. * * Re: 94L Lounge Psyber   Fri Jun 28 2024 08:58 PM
. * * Re: 94L Lounge OrlandoDan   Sun Jun 30 2024 03:42 PM

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