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Now looking at a chance for two TDs in the Atlantic (low threat to land), but likely development in the Pacific nearing Hawaii.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 669 (Milton), US Major: 669 (Milton), FL Any: 669 (Milton), FL Major: 669 (Milton)
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cieldumortModerator
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Posts: 2742
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Beryl Lounge
      Fri Jul 05 2024 05:52 PM

This morning's Beryl Super-ensemble trends update (Cr. Tomer Burg and Brian Tang) show just how much model runs have underestimated Beryl's propensity to track north of where top models expect it to, and this has only become more pronounced this afternoon with the cyclone already pulling off the north coast of the Yucatan peninsula, rather than later and farther west-southwest of its current location.



Image credit: Tomer Burg CIRES/NOAA/@NWSWPC HMT facilitator | PhD in Atmospheric Science

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Beryl Lounge cieldumortModerator Fri Jul 05 2024 05:52 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sun Jul 07 2024 01:16 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge JMII   Sun Jul 07 2024 04:17 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge LoisCane   Sun Jul 07 2024 08:19 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 07 2024 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumortModerator   Mon Jul 08 2024 12:33 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumortModerator   Fri Jul 05 2024 05:52 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumortModerator   Fri Jul 05 2024 05:03 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumortModerator   Fri Jul 05 2024 02:51 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumortModerator   Tue Jul 02 2024 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge BloodstarModerator   Wed Jul 03 2024 11:14 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge JMII   Wed Jul 03 2024 01:07 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge MichaelA   Wed Jul 03 2024 05:05 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sun Jun 30 2024 03:58 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jun 30 2024 06:31 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge JMII   Sun Jun 30 2024 07:54 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sun Jun 30 2024 02:52 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sat Jun 29 2024 05:38 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge cieldumortModerator   Sat Jun 29 2024 04:24 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 29 2024 09:40 AM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jun 28 2024 07:02 AM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Thu Jun 27 2024 07:36 PM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Thu Jun 27 2024 04:51 AM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jun 27 2024 06:05 AM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Thu Jun 27 2024 04:17 AM

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