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Remnants from E PAC storms are forecast to move into SW Gulf by Friday and have a slight chance of redeveloping there. Rain likely going up in S TX and coastal TX either way.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 609 (Milton), US Major: 609 (Milton), FL Any: 609 (Milton), FL Major: 609 (Milton)
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cieldumort
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Reged:
Posts: 2676
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: PTC FOUR
      Sat Aug 03 2024 07:16 PM

Finally some recon missions that will penetrate are underway and help resolve some of the questions, such as just how well organized Debby is. Based on conventional and microwave satellite, the tropical cyclone truly appears much better organized than just 24 hours ago, and has completed merging both of the previously competing lobes into one rather large TC.

Given the low shear, high SSTs, healthy outflow environment, about the only thing that might obviously now prevent more rapid intensification seems to be Debby's relatively large size, still reminiscent of its parent gyre. Strong H1/2 certainly looks very possible prior to landfall, and potentially even stronger should more substantial slowing or even stalling start to occur before reaching the Florida coast.

Nightmarish flood risk as a large and wet Category Slow, regardless.




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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Debby cieldumort Sat Aug 03 2024 07:16 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Debby MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 11 2024 04:16 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Debby MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 07 2024 01:35 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Debby MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 05 2024 06:21 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Debby MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 04 2024 11:10 PM
. * * Re: PTC FOUR Kraig   Sun Aug 04 2024 06:21 PM
. * * Re: PTC FOUR Bill_hawe   Sun Aug 04 2024 06:01 PM
. * * Re: PTC FOUR Marknole   Sun Aug 04 2024 02:17 PM
. * * Re: PTC FOUR MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 04 2024 08:33 AM
. * * Re: PTC FOUR MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 03 2024 11:19 PM
. * * Re: PTC FOUR MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 03 2024 10:31 PM
. * * Re: PTC FOUR cieldumort   Sat Aug 03 2024 07:16 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Debby Forms North of Cuba MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 03 2024 07:09 PM
. * * Re: PTC FOUR MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 03 2024 06:49 PM
. * * Re: PTC FOUR CFHCAdministrator   Fri Aug 02 2024 02:14 PM

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