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Hurricane Warning issued for the Big Island. Life-threatening flooding and mudslides are likely in addition to damaging winds, surge and surf.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 673 (Milton), US Major: 673 (Milton), FL Any: 673 (Milton), FL Major: 673 (Milton)

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Archives 2020s >> 2024 Forecast Lounge

CFHC

Reged:
Posts: 213
Loc: East Central Florida

Re: Next MDR Wave
Fri Aug 09 2024 12:59 PM

Setup here prefers the east of US Track if the system strengthens early, if not you get something like today's 12Z GFS where it slips under then landfalls around Wilmington NC on Aug 18/19th. Canadian is much stronger, and stays east of Bermuda and recurves before it reaches the Caribbean islands.

Basically it's a case for the "weaker west" "stronger east" setup.

Icon is in between those two, and the 0z Euro gets close to Bermuda but stays east of the US mainland (after going over the USVI and PR) but then curves back toward MA/ME at the end of the run.

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Ernesto Lounge	cieldumort	Fri Aug 09 2024 12:59 PM
Re: Ernesto Lounge	cieldumort	Mon Aug 12 2024 10:13 PM
Center reformation	Robert	Tue Aug 13 2024 10:26 AM
Re: Next MDR Wave	IsoFlame	Fri Aug 09 2024 09:26 AM
Re: Next MDR Wave	bob3d	Fri Aug 09 2024 06:22 PM
Re: Next MDR Wave	IdaliaJackson	Sat Aug 10 2024 05:52 PM
Re: Next MDR Wave	MikeC	Sun Aug 11 2024 09:29 AM
Re: Next MDR Wave	IsoFlame	Sun Aug 11 2024 04:41 PM
Re: Next MDR Wave	CFHC	Fri Aug 09 2024 12:59 PM
Re: Next MDR Wave	MikeC	Sat Aug 10 2024 12:05 AM
Re: Next MDR Wave	MikeC	Sat Aug 10 2024 04:12 PM
Re: Next MDR Wave	IsoFlame	Sat Aug 10 2024 07:10 AM

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