Even though this season is running a bit ahead on named storms, hurricanes and the phenomenally early monster Beryl, given the chance I'd par back my pre-season forecast from: 23-10-4 to a more normal 18-8-3 based on my gut telling me the unusual mid-August "cold" front that just pushed most of the way down the Florida peninsula today may be a pre-cursor of an early onset of late summer/early fall frontal activity this season. Add to that a general leveling off in August from the crazy warm SST's in that we've seen throughout the Atlantic basin this year, I don't think the second half of August and possibly September will see historically high numbers. We shall see...
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Re: 2024 Forecast and Modeling Updates
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