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Josephine forms from 93L. Forecast to become a hurricane-force fish spinner. Watching off SE for potential new Area of Interest this weekend.

Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 14 (Isaias), US Major: 744 (Milton), FL Any: 14 (Isaias), FL Major: 744 (Milton)

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Present movement...ne or 45 degrees at 12 mph...19 km/h

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Archives 2020s >> 2024 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Posts: 2948
Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: Tropical Storm Hone (Hawaii threat)
Sat Aug 24 2024 04:05 PM

Hone has been tracking a hair north of forecast and intensifying a little more than forecast. Satellite and recon suggests that the cyclone may be making a run at hurricane prior to passing west of the Big Island. A track a little on the stronger side and closer to or even directly over the Big Island is supported by a few of the ensemble members. Something to keep an eye on, as a hurricane watch or even warning is not out of the realm of possibility.

Above:
UKMET Ensembles 8-24-24-0z
GFS Ensembles 8-24-24-12z
ECMWF Ensembles 8-24-24-0z
Credit: Brian Tang

Post Extras

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Hurricane Hone Lounge	cieldumort	Sat Aug 24 2024 04:05 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Hone (Hawaii threat)	cieldumort	Sat Aug 24 2024 04:05 PM
Re: Invest 91E Lounge (Hawaii?)	cieldumort	Thu Aug 22 2024 10:56 AM

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