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Tropical Storm Fernand becomes the sixth name to form at approx 25% of the way through a typical full season. Watching #99L very closely as well. #TropicalStormFernand
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 317 (Milton) , Major: 317 (Milton) Florida - Any: 317 (Milton) Major: 317 (Milton)
TS Fernand
ADV#1 5:00 pm EDT
27.2N 61.4W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1010mb
Moving:
N at 15 mph
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2589
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Tropical Storm Hone (Hawaii threat)
      Sat Aug 24 2024 04:05 PM

Hone has been tracking a hair north of forecast and intensifying a little more than forecast. Satellite and recon suggests that the cyclone may be making a run at hurricane prior to passing west of the Big Island. A track a little on the stronger side and closer to or even directly over the Big Island is supported by a few of the ensemble members. Something to keep an eye on, as a hurricane watch or even warning is not out of the realm of possibility.


Above:
UKMET Ensembles 8-24-24-0z
GFS Ensembles 8-24-24-12z
ECMWF Ensembles 8-24-24-0z
Credit: Brian Tang

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Hone Lounge cieldumort Sat Aug 24 2024 04:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Hone (Hawaii threat) cieldumort   Sat Aug 24 2024 04:05 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91E Lounge (Hawaii?) cieldumort   Thu Aug 22 2024 10:56 AM

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