New Article: CSU releases 2026 season numbers, slightly below average. https://flhurricane.com
Days since last Hurricane Landfall —
US Any:
562 (Milton),
US Major:
562 (Milton),
FL Any:
562 (Milton),
FL Major:
562 (Milton)
IsoFlame
Weather Analyst
Reged:
Posts: 411
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
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Re: General Long Range Lounge
Tue Sep 17 2024 11:38 AM
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Central Americas gyre becoming active about the same time deep, un-worked over (since Beryl)/Debby) near-peak SST's in the western Caribbean and eastern GOMEX provide ample fuel and atmospheric conditions become extremely favorable signal that any spin-up that occurs in the region next week could have explosive potential. Modeling has been playing on this with some consistency, though ultimate track remains a question.
Given trough deepening over the western third of the CONUS and high pressure building off the mid-Atlantic coast, anything that forms may drift north then northeast into the eastern GOMEX, potentially threatening the Florida panhandle. Stay tuned...
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CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/
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